![]() I want you to remember the sacrifices these men have made. What those who have been at war have done for you. I am the fire, the sword and the gun, I am a warrior and this is my song. I am a soldier and I'm marching on, I am a warrior and this is my song! ![]() I'll flood the earth in a sea of brass and watch you burn in the fire's wrath, pray to the devil that damned you last, the shadow of death is the one I cast! I'll grind your bones in the crushing teeth, served to the swine that comes to feast on the stink of the fear and the tears you'll weep. Here, where the legends live and die, where the Eagles scream and Reaper hides, Hell can't stop me the Devil tried. My boots are the beat, and the rythm I tread, shake the ground like a thounderhead, rain down in a hail of fire and lead like a reverie runnnin' through my head. Thunder crack and the enemy dies, when the barrel spits, the fire flies, aim's on point at killing time, and I kill with a heart like arctic ice. You better belive it, when the boots come down the blood I spill on the battleground will soak the earth until the wicked drown, in the death I deal when the hates comes out:īorn to the beating of drums of war, shaped in the fire at Valley Forge, made hard in the waters of a beach I tore from devil's claws in '44. I'll scorch the earth with a mighty shriek, and a milion full metal jacket teeth. I'm a killing machine, with a hunger deep. I am the blood that boils in the heart of the beast. Honour-bound and bred, they stood as one, in their defiance: a Continental Army raised on common man's alliance.įor Liberty, the fire, in the hearts of men did forge the will to break shackles free. The call to arms united them, in grim determination, they vowed to see the Eagle born, and made their Declaration. Such events, considered extreme outliers, collectively play vastly larger roles than regular occurrences.: xxi More technically, in the scientific monograph "Silent Risk", Taleb mathematically defines the black swan problem as "stemming from the use of degenerate metaprobability".The shot heard 'round the world shook the earth with great resound, lanterns lit, riders fled, to warn the farms and towns. ![]() ![]() Taleb's "black swan theory" refers only to unexpected events of large magnitude and consequence and their dominant role in history. 3 The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and a rare event's massive role in historical affairs. 2 The non-computability of the probability of consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities). The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, starting in 2001, to explain: 1 The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after they were discovered in Australia. Black swan theory From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Jump to navigation Jump to search A black swan ( Cygnus atratus) in Australia The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.
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